Monday, den 21. December 2009

2308186618 067d0db316 m Friends dont let friends buy centers at a 5 1/2% CAP
It’s Vegas years (God, time flies when you money) and 40,000 + + + of his closest friends will gather to wheel, deal and have a great time they eat, drink and be merry. What a fantastic business we are; Paid for food, drink and play (on your property or tables).

The “that” this is my 35th Convention (I’m too old), while the current show is not as fun or wild contract 30 years ago (but then again, I’m not so funny and wild when I was 30 years ago) to be more productive, we all know what we are doing, or at least that will do; 30 years ago, the winged. Most of you come up on stage, either Sunday or Monday morning and leave at times Tuesday, a waste in my opinion, by staying until Wednesday could make the show more productive for all involved and increase the likelihood of a deal. I write this every year and every year the show is abandoned on Wednesday after 11, so we changed some things.

Anyway, in 2006, today has a good year for everyone involved. Moreover, it seems regional dealmaking grow even faster than before, with increased participation and ten percent are not uncommon (I guesstimate about 7% to 10% increase for Vegas, and considering there were 40,000 participants last year, which is a large increase) and a Some shows had a 25% increase. The only negative on the horizon is the apparent slowdown in leasing.

This is a make-or-break show for retailers and developers in need of additional stores opened for holiday 2006. If you can not come up in the lead at the end of this month probably will not open shop until 2007. In fact, most of the 2006 Agreement which have already been made, with a few shops opened up the market for the rest of the year. But there are always a few stragglers who neither need nor want, a contract for this year, so if you have empty seats (and it’s very close), this is the time and place to study, otherwise the offer started here will be opened during 2007th

We must give credit intermediary that aggressive when it comes to planning meetings for the show. For the past month I’ve bombarded with emails and phone calls trying to set up meetings. The vast majority of cases will decrease because the projects offered were not attractive to our customers. All are hard to fill their dance cards, so they can impress the manager, but it is a good meeting is pointless for me. Of course, if you were really smart they would make a couple of hours every day to go just a show, when the existing network and see what is new, instead of wasting time on unnecessary meetings unproductive. This year will be easier next, when the convention floor will double in size and most of the participants or the participants will be lost or confused by the huge size of the exhibition hall. Yes, it has a larger exhibition area will benefit all, but I personally prefer to shop at Ace Hardware Home Depot, since size is easier to maneuver. Of course I’m not getting a good option, but sometimes I’m lazy.

Ranting about. . . I will not go into details about the Mills Company and their problems, because all we hear and read what happens to the REIT (and probably more will be published soon), but I would like to comment on Mill mixed with entertainment retailing, which does not seem to work , or at least profitable (in a capitalist enterprise, it is not profitable, it does not work). If you look at the history of entertainment in shopping centers, is a checkered past, mixed with many failures, the Discovery Zone, Jeepers, internal skate parks, roller coasters, or anything else, or the fact that the cinemas are in and retail projects in over 20 years . One year, the theater developers should be included in a center of mixture; Next year they are buried in the back who are not viable (the only way theaters could become profitable was bankrupt a few years ago).

Get entertainment complexes in combination with conventional work retail and I think it will change in the near future. The difference today from when I put ice rinks roller centers 30 years ago is that the costs and risks are much higher. When I did a roller rink agreement 30 years ago, the rent was usually less than 4 GROSS and it was a box of vanilla. Today, North Jersey Mill project cost billions of dollars to develop and no one knows whether the entertainment aspect is to attract and profitably as expected. Today, it is not unusual to develop the next mixed-use entertainment and baseball parks, where the cost would run into hundreds of millions of dollars, and again I do not think it will work. (Of course, if you can convince someone stupid city to give millions of taxpayers’ money to the project, which has improved the likelihood of success). Entertainment is not high sales per square generator and not to be Einstein to understand that if your development is high rents you should be in the same league. Overall, entertainment retailers can not afford the high rents and there is the problem. I also believe that the industry will hurt himself with many of the advanced, mixed-use projects, especially those that promote housing to cool the housing market. (Somehow I can not justify spending $ 500,000 for an apartment located in a retail / office complex. I do not want to live where they shop). One of the problems facing industry is that the money is so easy to grow today, developers who do not sign mortgage application is willing to try any idea that can work (not his money, so who cares, because they may lease, development and Management fees no matter what).

Other substances. . . friends do not let friends buy centers at 5% or 6% CAP rate. Even with the slowdown in leasing activity, the market for acquisition centers are still warm (it is another matter), while slowing growth in sales (or an increase in CAP rates in the near future) a few centers sold 5% to 5. CAPs 5%. And a maximum of 6% to 6. 5% are not uncommon. Yes, millions have done over the past five years with “flippers” who was a center for six to 12 months and then changed (with no increase in income) for millions more than it took for the center. But with the slowdown in leasing and rising interest rates, employment centers, based on these figures are meaningless. Remember the dot. com boom, will BUSTED very quickly. I think the same can be true for retail buildings. Pricing of goods has become so bad that some suppliers that would normally have chosen to make a 1031 exchange now choose to pay taxes, rather than a Walgreens in 5% of the CAP and if you’re willing to pay tax on the acquisition there a problem.

Of course the other end of the spectrum is not rosy, either, for I have heard many developers complain that with such high costs that you receive only 10% to 11% return on emerging markets. High risk for low wages. The only reason 10% looks good due to 6% CAP in existing properties. Anyway, the mall will hire pounded by thousands of buyers and brokers who want to know if you have a heart for sale.

Oh, as indicated in the last MyWay, how much space is a significant reduction compared with previous years because of the strong economy. But the size of new construction, particularly lifestyle centers and urban renewal, it is (as we are still working on urban renewal in Chicago) significantly over the past year (for the commercial development kept the economy on its feet if we need more centers or not), therefore, particularly recommended to go to shopping center lease to see what the current trend happening where you are and what anchors. It is a good education and provide ideas for your project.

On the other note, I had dinner with two friends the other day, two of which managers of real estate for their development. That’s where the similarity ends. It complained that even though the company has more than 12 million square meters of retail, it is not supported by managers at the company, to consider leasing as a cost, not the main source of income generation for the company. Whenever a mass mailing, advertising, e-mail blasts to local shows or dealmaking, which in turn down because of costs and the belief that “market” does not work. The other company has a separate mailing to all existing tenants and in a common database (much of which contributes to the broker) and other uses of e-services to reach the “ma & pas,” sending thousands of e-mail blasts to promote job places and go almost as many local shows as I dealmaking. The company has more than 20 million square meters with a vacancy rate of 4%. The other company applies a 6% to 7% vacancy rate consistently. Which company would that be? Oh, is it smart company vacancies, as a “cost” and the more spare the higher cost, so that you are willing to make sweetheart deals with empty houses long, while “other” company says “this is our rent, pay or go to our Center. ”

Have a good and productive show.

PS Do not forget to reduce the RD / TKO / KIN stand at 667 Sixth Avenue Monday after 4 p. m for our annual Beer Blast. Spirit, fun and friends, what more could you want, Oh, I almost forgot, drop by and let me introduce you to my son Josh, that arrives in the industry.

Ted Kraus, the publisher of national trade magazine Dealmakers, which covers retail and real estate. There is also a broker and the mall management company Ted @ Dealmakers. net http://www. Dealmakers. net

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Sunday, den 20. December 2009

2103427598 84cbf17e51 m Friends Dont Let Friends Buy Centers At 5 1/2% Caps
It’s Vegas years (God, time flies when you money) and 40,000 of his closest friends will gather to wheel, deal and have a great time they eat, drink and be merry. What a fantastic business we are; Paid for food, drink and play (on your property or tables). The “that” this is my 35th Convention (I’m too old), while the current show is not as fun or wild contract 30 years ago (but then again, I’m not so funny and wild when I was 30 years ago) to be more productive, we all know what we are doing, or at least that will do; 30 years ago, the winged. Most of you come up on stage, either Sunday or Monday morning and leave at times Tuesday, a waste in my opinion, by staying until Wednesday could make the show more productive for all involved and increase the likelihood of a deal. I write this every year and every year the show is abandoned on Wednesday after 11, so we changed some pragmata.Eite so or otherwise, in 2006, today has a good year for everyone involved. Moreover, it seems regional dealmaking grow even faster than before, with increased participation and ten percent are not uncommon (I guesstimate about 7% to 10% increase for Vegas, and considering there were 40,000 participants last year, which is a large increase) and a Some shows had a 25% increase. The only negative on the horizon is the apparent reduction in the financial misthosis.Afto is a make-or-break show for retailers and developers in need of more stores open for holiday 2006. If you can not come up in the lead at the end of this month probably will not open shop until 2007. In fact, most of the 2006 Agreement which have already been made, with a few shops opened up the market for the rest of the year. But there are always a few stragglers who neither need nor want, a contract for this year, so if you have empty seats (and it’s very close), this is the time and place to study, otherwise the offer started here opened in 2007. Prepei give credit intermediary that aggressive when it comes to planning meetings for the show. For the past month I’ve bombarded with emails and phone calls trying to set up meetings. The vast majority of cases will decrease because the projects offered were not attractive to our customers. All are hard to fill their dance cards, so they can impress the manager, but it is a good meeting is pointless for me. Of course, if you were really smart they would make a couple of hours every day to go just a show, when the existing network and see what is new, instead of wasting time on unnecessary meetings unproductive. This year will be easier next, when the convention floor will double in size and most of the participants or the participants will be lost or confused by the huge size of the exhibition hall. Yes, it has a larger exhibition area will benefit all, but I personally prefer to shop at Ace Hardware Home Depot, since size is easier to maneuver. Of course I’m not getting a good option, but sometimes I tempelis.Ranting on. . . I will not go into details about the Mills Company and their problems, because all we hear and read what happens to the REIT (and probably more will be published soon), but I would like to comment on Mill mixed with entertainment retailing, which does not seem to work , or at least profitable (in a capitalist enterprise, it is not profitable, it does not work). If you look at the history of entertainment in shopping centers, is a checkered past, mixed with many failures, the Discovery Zone, Jeepers, internal skate parks, roller coasters, or anything else, or the fact that the cinemas are in and retail projects in over 20 years . One year, the theater developers should be included in a center of mixture; Next year they are buried in the back who are not viable (the only way theaters could become profitable was bankrupt a few years ago). Get entertainment complexes in combination with conventional work retail and I think it will change in the near future. The difference today from when I put ice rinks roller centers 30 years ago is that the costs and risks are much higher. When I did a roller rink agreement 30 years ago, the rent was usually less than 4 GROSS and it was a box of vanilla. Today, North Jersey Mill project cost billions of dollars to develop and no one knows whether the entertainment aspect is to attract and profitably as expected. Today, it is not unusual to develop the next mixed-use entertainment and baseball parks, where the cost would run into hundreds of millions of dollars, and again I do not think it will work. (Of course, if you can convince someone stupid city to give millions of taxpayers’ money to the project, which has improved the likelihood of success). Entertainment is not high sales per square generator and not to be Einstein to understand that if your development is high rents you should be in the same league. Overall, entertainment retailers can not afford the high rents and there is the problem. I also believe that the industry will hurt himself with many of the advanced, mixed-use projects, especially those that promote housing to cool the housing market. (Somehow I can not justify spending $ 500,000 for an apartment located in a retail / office complex. I do not want to live where they shop). One of the problems facing industry is that the money is so easy to grow today, developers who do not sign mortgage application is willing to try any idea that can work (not his money, so who cares, because they may lease, development and Management fees no matter what). Changing topics. . . friends do not let friends buy centers at 5% or 6% CAP rate. Even with the slowdown in leasing activity, the market for acquisition centers are still warm (it is another matter), while slowing growth in sales (or an increase in CAP rates in the near future) a few centers sold 5% to 5. CAPs 5%. And a maximum of 6% to 6. 5% are not uncommon. Yes, millions have done over the past five years with “flippers” who was a center for six to 12 months and then changed (with no increase in income) for millions more than it took for the center. But with the slowdown in leasing and rising interest rates, employment centers, based on these figures are meaningless. Remember the dot. com boom, will BUSTED very quickly. I think the same can be true for retail buildings. Pricing of goods has become so bad that some suppliers that would normally have chosen to make a 1031 exchange now choose to pay taxes, rather than a Walgreens in 5% of the CAP and if you’re willing to pay tax on the acquisition there one provlima.Fysika the other end is not so rosy either, for I have heard many developers complain that with such high costs that you receive only 10% to 11% return on emerging markets. High risk for low wages. The only reason 10% looks good due to 6% CAP in existing properties. Anyway, the mall will hire pounded with thousands of buyers and brokers who want to know if you have a center of polisi.O, as indicated in the last MyWay, how much space is a significant drop compared to last year because of the strong economy. But the size of new construction, particularly lifestyle centers and urban renewal, it is (as we are still working on urban renewal in Chicago) significantly over the past year (for the commercial development kept the economy on its feet if we need more centers or not), therefore, particularly recommended to go to shopping center lease to see what the current trend happening where you are and what anchors. It is a good education and provide ideas for the project sas.Apo another note, I had dinner with two friends the other day, two of which managers of real estate for their development. That’s where the similarity ends. It complained that even though the company has more than 12 million square meters of retail, it is not supported by managers at the company, to consider leasing as a cost, not the main source of income generation for the company. Whenever a mass mailing, advertising, e-mail blasts to local shows or dealmaking, which in turn down because of costs and the belief that “market” does not work. The other company has a separate mailing to all existing tenants and in a common database (much of which contributes to the broker) and other uses of e-services to reach the “MA

Ted Kraus (Ted @ Dealmakers. Net http://www. Dealmakers. Net) is the editor of Dealmakers, a national newsletter on retailing and real estate other than the rental and management centers at the national level.

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Friday, den 18. December 2009


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Thursday, den 12. November 2009

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